Solidarity Partners Meet- interview with Dr Harin Kanani & Mr Prabh Mehar SIngh Solidarity Partners Meet- interview with Dr Harin Kanani & Mr Prabh Mehar SIngh
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Equity

Solidarity Partners Meet- interview with Dr Harin Kanani & Mr Prabh Mehar SIngh

We had the privilege of hosting Dr. Harin Kanani, Managing Director of Neogen Chemicals Ltd., and Mr. Prabh Mehar Singh, Vice President of RACL Geartech Ltd., at our Partners Meet in Mumbai. It was truly insightful to learn about the key drivers behind their success.

Watch the full interview with them here

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Investment implications for Indian investors in a Trumpian world

“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen”-Vladimir Lenin

This is a new Trumpian world.   Within 8 weeks of being sworn in, Trump has voted alongside Russia at the UN against historical allies, threatened to annex Greenland, to cut defence aid to Ukraine, to exit NATO, pulled the US out of the Paris climate change agreement, defied the US judiciary ….

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Moving forward with strategy, not with emotion – our view on investing in Small and Mid Caps at present

Last week, S Naren, CIO of ICICI Pru MF and a market veteran we respect immensely, warned investors about exuberance in Small and Mid-Caps. His statement “we think it is a clear time to take out lock, stock, and barrel from small and midcap” created quite a stir on social media.  “With great power comes great responsibility” and we endorse the general warning that Naren is dispensing to the price agnostic retail investor. 

However, our views on investing in Small and Mid-Caps today are more nuanced, and we share our specific stance on this subject below.

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Investment thesis on Yasho Industries

In an earlier blog, read here, we discussed the importance of seeking Asymmetric outcomes. 

What are conditions under which one could find Asymmetric outcomes? One needs:

  • Large and growing market opportunity that creates opportunity for rapid profit growth at acceptable ROEs (18%+)
  • A promoter that will continue to invest for growth but not be imprudent with risk taking.  Is enhancing organization’s capabilities. 
  • Broadly acceptable entry valuations.
  • Patience – you need time to allow compounding to work and progress is seldom linear. 

We believe Yasho Industries fulfils all these conditions at present.

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Outlook for future returns

We have put together a brief note to discuss our outlook for future returns.

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Is it different this time?

Like most valuation-conscious investors at present, we too are grappling to deploy capital at acceptable valuations. In many new accounts opened since January 2023, we continue to hold 20%+ uninvested cash. While we are not accepting capital from new partners at present, if we did, we would be able to deploy only ~40% in Week 1, most of it in Large Caps.


Our uninvested cash prompted a partner to ask us recently whether we are missing “something”. Sentiment for India is very positive. There is a wall of FII money waiting to enter India. SIP flows continue to be strong. Hence can’t valuation multiples continue to climb higher? Is it different this time?
It is not different this time, just the behavioural cycle at play in Small caps and select sectors.

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Our perspectives on valuation euphoria in Small and Micro Caps at present

We have put together a brief note to explain our perspective on valuation in Small & Micro Caps

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Looking for Asymmetric outcomes

The enclosed blog discusses the power of Asymmetric outcomes, where to look for such returns, what it takes to achieve them, and how we think about what share of the portfolio we allocate to such ideas. 

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The shadow of Private Equity ownership on our buying decisions

The purpose of our letters and occasional blogs is to provide transparency in how we are thinking with the goal of creating stronger alignment with partners who want to think and act long-term.

Two companies in our portfolio – STAR Health Insurance and Restaurants Brands Asia – have existing Private Equity (PE) shareholders looking to exit.   Everstone is looking for a buyer for its stake in RBA.  Similarly, there are a few PE investors in STAR who are looking to sell their stake. 

PE funds have a finite life and need to return capital.  The shadow of these exits often results in a weakness in stock prices till the exit is complete.  For example, one of the PE investors in STAR sold a large stake via a block deal last Friday at a discount to the prevailing market price which resulted in a 8% drop in price.

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PMS vs Mutual Funds vs Alternate Investment Fund

Enclosed note contains our perspectives on suitability of PMS structure versus other investment vehicles.

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  • Solidarity Partners Meet- interview with Dr Harin Kanani & Mr Prabh Mehar SIngh
  • Investment Thesis of our Top 15 Positions held under the PRUDENCE Scheme
  • Investment in Shivalik Bimetal Controls Ltd

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