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Perspectives

The futility of taking Cash Calls

Enclosed note explains why we don’t take cash calls.

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Our perspective to some commonly asked questions (Part 2)

Enclosed note contains our perspective on some commonly asked questions.

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INVESTMENT THESIS ON INDIA MART-29 JAN 2021

We hold a position in India Mart whose price fell sharply since then by ~35% in the last two weeks.

In this note we explain
a) Our Investment thesis on the company
b) Our hypothesis on what could explain the decline
c) How we have acted post the steep decline

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Is Value Investing dead ?

Over the last few years, traditionally defined “Value” stocks have continued to get cheaper while “Growth” oriented cos have done very well.  The divergence is stark and is now prompting questions whether Value Investing is dead. 

The categorization of stocks between “Growth” and “Value” is erroneous.   Anything that is low PE multiple and out of favour with markets is typically labelled “Value” and anything with high multiples and fast growth is labelled “Growth”. 

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Our Process For Exit Decisions

We have put together a brief note explaining how we take exit decisions.

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Implications of SEBI new guidelines on Multi-Cap Funds

SEBI came out with new guidelines last evening where Equity Multi-Cap Funds now compulsorily need to invest at least 25% of their corpus in “Mid Caps” (firms ranked between 101-250 in pecking order of Market Cap) and another 25% in “Small Caps (firms ranked 251 or higher in pecking order of Market Cap).   This needs to be achieved by 31 Jan 2021.

In this note we want to address the following issues

a)      How did SEBI get here?

b)      Our view on this order

c)       What this order means for Small and Mid-Caps in the short term?

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Update from the front

We are in the midst of an economic shock.  India has not been able to flatten the curve and the number of infections continues to rise. There is no visibility of a vaccine or a cure.  SMEs are in distress. Neighbourhood shops are doing very little business, if any at all.    Yet stock prices seem to ignore market conditions and have reached the levels of February 2020.   

What is going on? Are markets ahead of themselves? Should Solidarity be taking a cash call at present to preserve some of the gains?

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Why we are reluctant to take cash calls at present

We have had a few conversations with partners on why we are reluctant to take a 20% cash call at present despite the current uncertainty to re-enter when prices are more favourable.  I thought it may be appropriate to share our thought process with all our partners.

I want to separate the question into 2 parts

a)      The cash call  on “Asset Allocation” – which is for partners to make

b)      The cash call on “portfolio construct”- which is for Solidarity to make

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Dear Prime Minister, give us a message of hope, courage and equanimity

Will the lockdown in India end on 17 May or will we as a country go deeper into “economic hara-kiri” ? (Anand Mahindra)

The first lockdown was perhaps right. In the fog of war, you have to act decisively till you figure out a course of action. However, post mid-April, we seem to acting more out of fear, than with “systems thinking”.

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Playing the game vs being clear on what game you are playing

In trying to optimize short term performance and also long term performance simultaneously is a very hard game to play.  We can choose to be smart in the short term or in the long term – but can’t choose both.  It’s a rare genius that can trade short term and invest long simultaneously.  Most people who claim they can do this lie about their returns.

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